Chapter 6
International Security after the Cold
War
Introduction: The
Changing Nature of Security Studies
- Security
- The
security of a state from external threats to its territorial integrity,
political independence and way of life
- Biggest
challenge is the military threat posed by other states
- One
side wants to focus on “threats” like environmental degradation, the
intrusion of outside cultural influences, modernization, economic
integration, migration of peoples
- Other
side wants to focus on “threats” like ideologies, individuals, groups,
socioeconomic conditions existing within or across state boundaries
- Securitization
Theory
- Emphasizing
that security is not an objective term but is constructed through social
processes (speech, media…)
- Cold
War had a huge impact on international security
- Studying
international security
- The
origins and causes of conflict in the international system
- National
security and research on potential threats
- Group
security
- Nuclear
weapons safety and nuclear weapons proliferation
- Chemical
and biological weapons terrorism
- The
spread of conventional weapons
- Asymmetric
threats
- Human
security
- Regional
security studies
- Environmental
security
- Security
challenges in today’s world; proliferation of weapons, terrorism, growth
of international organized crime
The Nature of War
in Global Politics
- War is
a period of armed hostilities within or between states or other
collectivities
- War is
often described as conflicts where there are 1000 + combat-related deaths
- Conflicts
that generate less than 1000 may cause immense human suffering and must
still be considered wars
- Trends
in war (over 5 centuries – 16th to 20th)
- Shifts
from major power wars to minor power wars
- Shift
from wars in Europe to wars in other
regions
- Shift
from wars between states to wars within states
- 4
times more people died in 20th century wars than in wars in
the past 400 years
- Trends
in post-World War 2
- No
wars between great powers – however great powers involved in wars
- Magnitude
of war on the decline (toll on human life, size of affected area, damage,
dislocated populations)
- The
victims of war have increasingly become civilians
- Immediately
following the end of the Cold War global military spending declined
- Since
1998 military spending has increased
- 2002
world military spending totaled $784 billion US
- The U.S.
is responsible for 75% of the increase between 2001 and 2002
- Top
five countries (U.S., Japan, UK,
France, China)
account for about 62% of world military spending
Theorizing About
the Origins of War
- Wars
have been started over tangible and intangible issues – how can a
generalization about cause of war be made?
- Quincy Wright : “A war, in reality, results from a total
situation involving ultimately almost everything that has happened to the
human race up to the time the war begins.”
- To
find possible explanations for war use three levels of analysis
- War
at the individual level – the cause of war in ourselves, in our nature as
a species
- War
at the state or group level – causes that may be found in the social and
political characteristics of states or groups
- War
at the systemic level – finds origins of war in the nature of
international politics itself
Interstate Warfare
After the Cold War: From Gulf War to Iraq War
- August 28, 1990 Iraq invaded Kuwait
– Iraq claimed a right
to Kuwait as a province of Iraq
- Iraq’s desperate economic situation at the
end of its war with Iran
prompted Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein to seize the oil-rich country
- Motives
seem to be immediate economic gain, long-term control over a significant
portion of Middle East oil reserves
- UN
called for Iraqi withdrawal, imposed economic sanctions, authorized use of
force
- Coalition
of Great Britain, France, Saudi
Arabia, Syria,
Egypt, Canada,
and more had amassed 750 000 personnel in the Gulf
- Not
all public opinion in these countries was behind war, but once the war
began public support increased
- Iraq took Western civilians in Iraq
hostage in attempt to change Islamic opinions about the coalition
- Hussein
attempted to widen war by involving Israel, hoping to break
coalition between Western and Middle Eastern countries
- Iraq deployed 400 000+ troops to defend
gains in Kuwait
– failed
- Diplomacy
failed: Hussein unwilling to meet coalition demands
- Military
campaign began on January
17, 1991 with 40-day air campaign against Iraq and Iraqi forces in Kuwait
- This
caused Iraqi forces to be destroyed, and coalition controlled air
- Iraq- launched Scud missiles on Saudi Arabia and Israel – failure
- Ended
with 100-hour ground offensive into Iraq
and Kuwait
- Ceasefire
called on February 27,
1991
- Impacts
- Costs
of war were high, coalition casualties 240, Iraqi military casualties
between 20 000 and 85 000, Iraqi civilian casualties between 2300 and 20
000, displacement of 4 to 5
million people
- Kurds
in north and Shiite Muslims in south rebelled against Hussein
- Northern/southern
Iraq
– safe haven protected by coalition airpower
- Iraq
released crude oil into Gulf to foul Saudi Arabian coasts
- Iraqi
blew up hundreds of Kuwaiti oil wells
- The
Gulf War achieved stated objective: removal of Iraqi military form Kuwait
and restore Kuwaiti government
- Gulf
War left many issues unresolved
- Saddam
Hussein remained leader of Iraq, Republican Guard kept
regime in power through force and intimidation
- UN
weapons inspectors encountered effort to hide WMD programs
- Increased
anti-American sentiment for punishing Iraqi forces when they threaten
no-fly zones
- UN
sanctions that remained crippled Iraq’s economy, caused
hardship to civilians
- Terrorist
attacks of September
11, 2001 caused terrorism to be primary security
- Terrorism
and supporting states were focus of “War on Terrorism”
- Bush
(then back by public/government opinion and UN Security Council)
identified Al-Qaeda
- U.S
led coalition launched war to overthrow Taliban government in Afghanistan
- January 29, 2002 Bush
referred to North Korea,
Iran, and Iraq
as “axis of evil”
- Iraq agenda and war “War on Terrorism”
began coverage in Washington
despite a clear link
- By
late 1990s Hussein became less cooperative with UN resolution conditions
- Since
end of Gulf War Iraq
defied 10 UN resolutions related to arms inspections, sanctions, safe
havens, no-fly zones
- Weapons
inspection teams withdrawn in 1998
- December
1998, U.S. and Britain
dropped un-UN-authorized bombs on suspected WMD sites
- France
withdrew from coalition enforcement of no-fly zones
- U.S. received support to go to war from UK
and British Prime Minister
- Numerous examples of opposition to U.S.
efforts
- Many
thought U.S.
motives were to remove Hussein and gain Iraqi oil
- Many
did not see a connection between Hussein and 911
- February 15, 2003 “Day
of Action”
- June
2002 Bust stated to be ready for preemptive action when necessary
- September
2002 document stated efforts to deter and defend against the treat before
it is unleashed
- October
2002 U.S. Congress authorized Bush to use force against Iraq
- The U.S. sought after UN support and wanted a
harder line against Iraq
– the people would also be more supportive of a war that had UN approval
- UN
Security Council passed Resolution 1441– weapon inspectors returned to Iraq
- Iraqi
government did not comply – U.S.,
Spain, UK
drafted resolution authorizing force
- February 5, 2003
Secretary of State Colin Powell outlined to UN: suspected WMD programs,
circumventions of UN sanctions, connections to Al-Qaeda, and human rights
violations by Iraqi government – Proposal withdrawn
- March 17, 2003 Bush
gave Saddam Hussein 48 hours to leave Iraq
- Military
campaign began on March
19th, 2003
- Many
countries who supported diplomatically did not support with military or
financial needs
- U.S., Britain,
and Australia
contributed military; no Middle Eastern or Muslim contribution
- U.S. and British forces moved into Iraq from Kuwait on March 20
- The U.S. forces reached Baghdad by April 3
- By
April 9, Hussein had fled and U.S. troops controlled the
city
- By
April 16, the last pockets of resistance towns had collapsed
- May 1,
Bush declared the war over
- Hussein
captured on December 13
- Questions,
Criticisms, Issues with Iraq
War
- What
were the human and monetary costs of the war?
- Over
U.S.$500 billion in 2004
- What
was the Bush Administration’s motive for going to war?
- Weapons
of mass destruction
- Opportunity
to reorder the Middle East
- Control
of Iraqi oil
- A
need to “deal” with Saddam Hussein
- Was
the Iraq War a “war of necessity”?
- May
have been, “the wrong war, in the wrong place, at the wrong time,
against the wrong enemy.”
- What
happened to the weapons of mass destruction?
- Why
was the United States
so poorly prepared to stabilize and rebuild postwar Iraq?
- Bush
Administration chose to treat warnings about the challenges of postwar Iraq
as antiwar sentiment
- The
image of the United
States in the world
- The
United States
alienated most of its key allies and was deeply unpopular around the
world
- Bush
Administration has chosen a course that emphasized military paths
- Sound
policies, political commitment, and wise expenditure of resources will be
needed for positive possibilities of the situation
- Examples
of high tension and rivalry between states in the international system
that could lead to future wars:
- Greece and Turkey
- India and Pakistan
- China, Vietnam,
Malaysia, Brunei, and Philippines
- Israel and Syria
- North Korea and South Korea
- Peru and Ecuador
- Ethiopia and Eritrea
- Cameroon and Nigeria
- The
use of coercive diplomacy and military intervention during crisis remains
relevant in contemporary international politics
- Threatening
to use military force to achieve political objectives remains a prominent
tool of state diplomacy
- Wars
between states remain possible even though there a few recent examples
- The
problem of intrastate war is extremely more relevant
- Concern
over transnational security threats has risen dramatically
Ethnic, Religious,
and Factional Conflict
- Decline
in interstate conflicts – rise in intrastate conflicts
- Many
intrastate conflicts may be between religious communities, clans, or
political factions
- Class
relations may be central factors in most of the above
- Just
over 5% of major armed conflicts between 1990 and 2002 were interstate
The Nature of
Communal Groups
- Communal
groups share a sense of common identity
- Causes
the group to differentiate from others
- This
sense of identity give group internal harmony and capacity for collective
action
- Communal
groups can be base on one or more of
- Ethnicity
(race, custom)
- Historical
experience or myth
- Religious
beliefs
- Region
of residence
- Familial
ties (clan systems)
- Communal
has a voluntary element, and are always changing
Explaining
Communal Conflict
- Communal
conflicts may originate in one of more of the following situations:
- Grievances
- Economic
grievances
- Political
grievances
- Autonomy
and independence
- Social
change
- Primordialism
- Incitement
by leaders
- State
nationalism versus ethnonationalism
- The
loss of the political centre
- Symbolic
politics
The Nature of
Communal War
- Kalevi
Holsti “There are no declarations of war, there are no seasons for
campaigning, and few end with peace treaties. Decisive battles are few.
Attrition, terror, psychology, and actions against civilians highlight
‘combat’. Rather than highly organized armed forces based on a strict
command hierarchy, wars are fought by loosely knit groups of regulars,
irregular, cells, and not infrequently by locally based warlords under
little or no central authority.”
- Attacks
are done on civilians because they are the source of soldiers, food, and
support
- Attacked
to weaken the military potential of the communal group
- Territorial
gain is reflected in composition of people living in the territory thus
forcing people to leave is a cornerstone of military campaigns (ethnic
cleansing)
- In
communal conflicts, territory is gained once all members of the other
ethnic group have been removed and the victor’s ethnic group has replaced
them
- Fear
and terror are important weapons is communal conflicts
- Rape –
causes AIDS, reduces chances for finding a mate and having children,
causes women to leave out of fear, attack on the ability of a communal
group to reproduce itself , women gone – communities uprooted
- There
may also be and economic component to ethnic conflicts
The Case of Yugoslavia:
Communal Conflict in a Fragmented State
- Created
following the disintegration of the Austro-Hungarian and Ottoman empires
- Serbia and Montenegro (core of new
state)
- Slovenians
and Croatians (joined out of concerns of Italian expansionism
- WW2
Yugoslavia conquered by Nazi Germany
- Much
violence occurred between ethnic groups
- Memories
of violence surfaced again in 1990s
- Federal
state composed of 8 republics and provinces
- Dictator
– Josef Tito (died in 1980)
- After
Tito’s death Serbia
dominated federal structure and army (alienating Slovenia and Croatia – wanted to leave
federation and declare independence)
- Violence
broke out in 1990s between Serbian minority militia and Croatian police
- Slovenia and Croatia declared independence
in June 1991
- Serbian-dominated
army used force to try and keep Slovenia
and Croatia
in the federation – Failed
- Serbian
army withdrew from Slovenia
in 1991 and Croatia
in 1992
- April
1992 the war spread to Bosnia
- Serbian
and Croatian regions of Bosnia
wanted to join Serbia
and Croatian in independence
- Success
of Bosnian Serbs was reversed by Muslim-Croat alliance, withdrawal of
Serbian support (result of UN sanctions), and intervention of NATO
- 1995
peace was negotiated in Bosnia
– lead to Dayton Agreement – 60 000 NATO troops used force to keep peace
- NATO
troops declining in Bosnia,
disruptions in peace may increase, long-term reconciliation looks grim
The Case of Somalia:
Clan Conflict in a Failed State
- Emerged
as independent state out of Africa in
July 1960
- 1969
Major-General Mohammed Siad Barre tried to establish a socialist state
- Opposition
to his rule grew in 70s and 80s
- He
had to rely on his own clan to maintain power
- January
1991 Barre thrown out by opposition of other clans
- Clans
began to fight over which clan was to rule
- Warfare
between rival clans broke out and lasted for 16 months
- Destroyed
the infrastructure in Somalia
- UN
and American forces tried to keep the peace – clashes with local warlords
- International
presence withdrawn in 1995 – clan violence continued
The Case of Chechnya: The Russian State
Against an Ethnic Group
- Bitter
relations between Moscow and the people of
the Caucasus region
- Chechnya was the most homogenous Muslim
republic in the Russian
Federation
- Soviet
Union collapse 1991 – Chechen leaders claimed right of self-government and
independence for Chechnya
- Russian
government maintained Chechnya
to be part of Russia
- Seemed
to be no compromising
- Chechens
ran more of their own affairs in disobedience of Moscow political authority
- 1993
Russian government (Boris Yeltsin) used military force to stop Chechen
independence
- First
round of violence lasted two years
- Cities
and towns devastated including the capital Grozny
- 100
000 casualties 400 000 refugees
- August
1996 ceasefire – postpone status of Chechnya for 5 years and
withdrawal of Russian troops
- During
this Chechnya continued
to disobey Moscow, and Russia continued trying to
weaken Chechen leaders
- 1999
war returned to Chechnya,
Russian president Vladimir Putin wanted to end conflict
- More
support in Russia after
bombings in Moscow
were attributed to Chechens
- Chechen
people demonized in Russia
as criminals or radical Islamists
- Russia
now controls most of Chechen
- Unable
to eliminate Chechen resistance
- Unable
to impose complete authority of entire republic
- Many
countries sited the right of Russia to maintain order to
maintain good relations
- March
2003 referendum run by Russian government – that Chechnya was a part of Russia in return for greater local
self-government – Agreed upon
- Year
later Chechnya
still faced heritage or both wars
- Destroyed
civilian infrastructure
- Countryside
ridden with land mines
- Population
living in poverty with a fierce hatred of Moscow
- It
is unlikely Chechnya
will get the reconstruction that it needs under the same government that
brought it war
- Other
important conflicts with a communal dimension include:
- Israel and the Palestine people
- The
Kurds
- The
Sudan
- Indonesia
- How
can these conflicts be avoided and stopped?
- There
is a huge presence of weapons in both intra and inter state wars
- Spread
of weapons around the world is a major security concern
The Proliferation
of Weapons
§
Vertical proliferation
o Increases
in the number of weapons possessed by individual states
§
Horizontal proliferation
o Spread
of military capabilities across states
§
The largest concern in the international system
is with horizontal spread of WMD, horizontal spread of conventional weapons,
and with individual “light” or “small arms” weapons
§
Weapons proliferation is regarded with concern
because arms races can increase existing tensions or raise levels of distrust
and hostility
§
Large concern about terrorists acquiring
chemical and biological weapons
§
Prevention of proliferation is a contribution to
preventing war and reducing violence level in future wars
The Proliferation
of Nuclear Weapons
- One
of the greatest concerns is the spread of nuclear weapons capabilities to
more states and substate actors
- 8
countries possess nuclear weapons (with 4 more acquiring then giving them
up)
- 30+
countries have the technological ability to become nuclear weapons states
- 7
states are declared nuclear (8 with Israel as undeclared)
- Some
say that nuclear weapons can have a steadying effect on regional stability
- Kenneth
Waltz “the presence of nuclear weapons makes states exceedingly cautious.
Why fight if you can’t win much and might lose everything?” - multilateral nuclear peace
- If
more decision makers have the option of using nuclear weapons, then they
are more likely to be used
- Social
and environmental costs are huge
- Several
rationales may motivate state leaders to develop nuclear weapons:
- They
may want to acquire nuclear weapons for security reasons
- State
leaders may seek the prestige such a capability would bring: nuclear
weapons are equated with modernization and development
- The
ability to become self-reliant when it comes to nuclear weapons
- Isolation
or ambition
- Influence
of domestic politics: nuclear weapons may be acquired to advance the
interests of domestic groups, industries, and bureaucracies
- Several
steps must be taken to become a nuclear weapons state
- Political
will to develop the weapons
- A
country must acquire the knowledge base required to build the weapons
- A
country must build the nuclear, industrial, and manufacturing
infrastructure required to build a bomb
- The
country must acquire fissile material-highly enriched uranium or
plutonium-for the bomb
- A
bomb design must be adopted and a decision made to assemble and deploy
the weapons
- Profile
of the North Korean case has escalated dramatically
- Began
nuclear weapons program in 1964 and accelerated in 1980s
- Suspected
of producing plutonium for a nuclear bomb by early 1990s
- Refused
to permit an inspection of their nuclear facilities
- October
1994 Framework Agreement between U.S. and North Korea
- North Korea
agreed to stop nuclear weapons program
- Give
international inspector leave to enter
- In
return they would get assistance in building replacement reactors for
civilian use and regular supplies of oil
- October
2002 – North Korea
admitted having a program to enrich uranium for use in nuclear weapons –
violation of Framework Agreement
- Trilateral
meeting took place (U.S.,
China, North Korea) where North Korea admitted to having
at least one nuclear weapon
- Substate
and terrorist organizations may produce or acquire nuclear weapons
- Concern
has increased by the concern of the security of weapons grade materials,
technology, and warheads from the former Soviet Union and Russia
A Nuclear South Asia
- One
of the most significant proliferation of nuclear weapons – May 1998
- 11-13th
– India
conducted five nuclear tests - first tested in 1974
- 20
and 30th – Pakistan
made six tests – thought to have weapons since 1992
- U.S., Japan,
Australia, Canada imposed sanctions on India and Pakistan
- Neither
country renounced its nuclear weapons program
- Nuclear
deterrence did not stop after the Cold War – alive in South
Asia
- February 20, 2000 – leaders
of India and Pakistan
launched first bus service between the two countries in 50 years
- This
showed desire for peace and avoid a nuclear war
- Summer
of 2000 – increased tensions, possession of nuclear weapons may not
prevent conflict between them
- Indian
commentator “A country that has nearly half its population living in
absolute poverty, that has an illiterate population more than 2.5 times
that of Sub-Saharan Africa, that has more than half its children over the
age of four living in malnourishment can never be a superpower.”
- To
all other countries the tests seemed very inappropriate
The Proliferation
of Chemical and Biological Weapons
- The
medium through which the chemical or biological warfare agent reaches a
human is the atmosphere, although they can be through water and surface
contact
- Chemical
weapons used extensively in WW1 and in China in WW2
- Iran-Iraq
War (1980-88) chemical weapons used by Iraq
and against Kurdish rebellion in northern Iraq
- 1995
nerve gas used by terrorists in the Tokyo
subway system
- Why
countries would want to acquire chemical or biological weapons
- For
the use on the battle field against unprotected opponents
- Deterrent
purposes
- Compared
to nuclear weapons, chemical and biological are inexpensive
The Proliferation
of Conventional Weapons
- Conventional
weapons responsible for majority of deaths in world wars since 1945
- The
problem of the proliferation of conventional weapons
- The
legal international arms trade
- The
covert arms trade
- The
indigenous development and production of weapons
- Majority
of arms trade is between industrialized countries to developing world
- Fall
in arms sales after 1991
- End
of the Cold War and fall of Soviet Union
(reduced availability)
- Strained
budgets in the South
- Indigenous
weapons production (less reliant on purchasing)
- Concern
of the quality of weapons purchased – very best weapons for sale
- Concern
over spread of ballistic missile capabilities – could be used to deliver
nuclear, chemical, or biological weapons in various regional settings
- Competition
– arms companies offering generous offset packages to potential buyers
- Some
permit permanent transfer of technology to the recipient country
- Governments
may assist their own arms industries by lifting export restriction on
certain armaments
- Governments
may offer financing or credit to possible buyers to ensure a contract
- Weapons
can use components and technology from many countries and corporations
- Why
governments allow, encourage, help weapons manufactures sell abroad
- Hard
currency
- Military
hardware is a significant export
- Jobs
- Maintain
manufacturing capability
- Encouraging
sales abroad may lower the unit cost of the weapon
- Covert
trade in armaments is estimated at U.S.$2 billion – U.S.$10 billion per
year
- During
war in former Yugoslavia,
despite UN arms embargo, U.S.$2 billion + worth of arms was covertly
shipped into the country in 1993 alone
- Indigenous
production of weapons systems has occurred for a number of reasons
- Developed
technological infrastructure and expertise to manufacture more modern
weapons
- Manufactured
certain weapons or parts under license and acquired production rights
over time
- Ability
to produce modern weapons is indicator of expertise
- Worrying
implications
- Controls
over proliferation will be difficult because many countries are producing
their own and not buying from abroad
- Growth
of indigenous production means more countries producing for export
increasing the number of producer states
- Concern
over proliferation has led to creation of international efforts to control
global spread of armaments
International
Terrorism
- Have
huge emotional impact
- Transnational
security concern
- Terrorist
attacks against U.S.
on September 11, 2001
- Thrown
debates about terrorism and counterterrorism into sharp relief
- Raised
profile of international terrorism
- Terrorism
in Canada
is very rare
- FLQ
Crisis
- Activities
of Direct Action
- Terrorism
used as weak, employed political instrument used to
- Seeks
to reject authority
- Generate
social change
- Promote
revolution or spread of far
- Terrorism
has been used all throughout history
- No
real definition for terrorism – because it is a politically charged work
and is often used inappropriately for political purposes
- “One
person’s terrorist is another’s freedom fighter” – relative nature of term
- Walter
Laqueur defines terrorism as “the substate application of violence or
threatened violence intended to sow panic in a society, to weaken or even
overthrow the incumbents, and to bring about political change”
- Cindy
Combs defines terrorism as “a synthesis of war and theatre, a dramatization
of the most proscribed kind of violence – that which is perpetrated on
innocent victims – played before an audience in the hope of creating a
mood of fear, for political purposes.”
- Suman
Gupta says in cases of international terrorist acts “the motives and/or
agencies and/or effects cross the boundaries of nation-states, and are not
necessarily conducted at the behest of any nation-state.”
- State
terrorism used within their own boarders to prevent opposition
- Campaigns
often involve massive human rights violations
- Has
deep historical roots
- State-sponsored
terrorism where government support is given to international terrorist
individuals or groups
The Origins and
Causes of Terrorism
- Studies
suggest that terrorism can be explained by the following
Individual Psychology
Ideological Fanaticism
Religious Fanaticism
Grievance and Cycles of Violence
Nationalism and Separatism
Activist Fanaticism
September 11, 2001
- Box cutters and verbal threats used to
hijack planes
- On
board was one terrorist who had taken flight lessons in the U.S.
- Two
of the aircrafts were crashed into the World Trade
Center
- Third
plane was crashed into the Pentagon
- Forth
(believed to be intended to hit Capitol
Building or White House) crashed
into a field in Pennsylvania
- 3000+
were killed
- Attacks
were the result of years of planning by small group of terrorists
associated with Al-Qaeda
- The
suspicion was laid on Al-Qaeda, they had bombed WTC in 1993, U.S.
Embassies in Africa in 1998, and attack on U.S. warship in 2000
- Some
of the terrorists had entered the U.S. legally on student visas
- September
17th, Osama Bin Laden was officially accused of planning the
attacks
- Some
blame was put on U.S. Intelligence for failure to observe signs of attack
- Bush
Administration was too focused on Iraq, and failed to take
Al-Qaeda seriously
- Anti-American
sentiment was built on
- U.S. support for Israel
- U.S.
assistance to repressive regimes in the Islamic world
- Growing
cultural influences of the United States
- Reaction
against Western modernization and globalization
- Recruited
young volunteers for a perverse for of jihad or holy war against America
and the West
- The
Taliban had seized power over most of Afghanistan in 1997
- Separated
from the international community for harsh imposition of Islamic law and
its treatment of women
- Bush
Administration began war against Afghanistan on October 7,2001
- Had
a lot of support, (e.g. From UN Security Council)
- 33
countries offered military support, many others offered political support
- U.S.
successfully overthrew the Taliban in November
- At
the same time U.S.
was waging battle to combat Al-Qaeda
- The Pakistan government supported Washington, although it was an unpopular decision in
Pakistan (didn’t
support until U.S.
sanctions on them were lifted)
- Patriot
Act was passed – increased power of agencies to arrest and detain
non-citizens, as well as the ability to use wiretaps and intercept
e-mails.
- Despite
damages to Al-Qaeda, it still survives as a more effective and
impenetrable network (they have not lost their capability to act)
- These
attacks show that Al-Qaeda is still capable of masterminding and executing
terrorist attacks, and will be part of the international terrorist
landscape for years to come
International
Terrorism After September 11
- Don’t
focus overemphasize on the United
States and Al-Qaeda
- There
is a decreasing trend in the frequency of terrorist attacks in
international terrorism per year
- Surged
in 1980s to a peak of 665 incidents in 1987
- 2002
there were 199 terrorist incidents recorded
- There
is some doubt as to whether international terrorism presents a significant
threat to national and international security when compared with other
security issues
- Characteristic
of contemporary international terrorism is the growing link between
different terrorist individuals and groups
- Audrey
Kurth Cronin “the current wave of international terrorism, characterized
by unpredictable and unprecedented threats from nonstate actors, not only
is a reaction to globalization but is facilitated by it”
- Others
argue “many of the most effective tools for dealing with the terrorist
threat are themselves partly the production of globalization”
- Objectives
of “postmodern terrorism” are not political; they are inspired by
religious or cult beliefs or by racial hatred
- These
groups seem to be focused toward more indiscriminate killing
- There
is also growing concern that terrorists have increasingly greater access
to chemical, biological, or even nuclear weapons.
- Since
September 11 terrorists have attacked nightclubs, street markets, civilian
aircraft, embassy buildings, and train stations
- It
is also possible that terrorists will turn to “weapons of mass disruption”
by using “cyber attacks”
Combating
Terrorism: Approaches and Methods
- Counter
terrorism efforts can be successful
- Effort
to address root causes
- Governments
can employ military and/or police force against organizations or the
states that sponsor their activities
- Efforts
can be made to reduce the vulnerability of a country and its people to
terrorist attacks
- Governments
can seek to strengthen international cooperation on counterterrorism
- The
complex role that media plays in covering terrorist events
International
Organized Crime
- “transnational
organized crime” is now considered a serious global security issue
- December
2000 the UN Convention against Transnational Organized Crime was
established
- October
2003 the UN Convention against Corruption was established
- Transnational
crime has been identified as an international security issue for the
following reasons
- International
criminal activity has escalated in terms of monetary scale and
international scope
- Organized
crime has expanded into international banking, investment, finance, and
business activity
- Criminal
organizations have become threats to governments
- Criminal
organizations can erode the social fabric of a country, undermining
political authority and corrupting the economic and political leadership
of states and their governments
- In
some countries, organized crime represents a threat to the conventional
economy and the ability of the government to manage it
- Worrisome
indications exist that organized crime may be involved in the
international sale of materials required for the production of WMD which
has appeared in small quantities for sale in Europe
- The
distinction between organized crime and terrorist and revolutionary
movements is blurring as terrorist and revolutionary organizations obtain
funding from the sale of drugs and as governments funnel money from
illegal arms sales to revolutionary militias
- Terrorist
goals
- The
weakening of the state and social and political order
- Criminal
organizations
- Had
an interest in economic stability so that they could pursue their
business activities
- The
lines between criminal organizations and terrorism are burring
- As
criminal organizations have become more international, the effort to fight
them has involved greater cooperation and coordination of effort between
countries
- In
2000 the United States
committed U.S.$1.3 billion to “Plan Columbia,” an effort to eliminate that
country’s coca production
Conclusions
- The
world is only significantly safer for people living in certain parts of
the world
- Will
more regions become increasingly stable and free of conflict, or will
instability and violence spread?
Key Terms: Chapter
6
Self-determination:
the claim that people have the right to self-rule
Warlords: authoritarian
leaders of substate groups that are isolated from the will of their peoples and
lack any checks or controls on their exercise of power
Long cycles: theory
that hegemons rise and decline in regular patterns, which in turn influence the
international economy and the outbreak of hegemonic wars
Golan Heights: contested
territory adjacent to Israel,
which has occupied it since the 1967 war
Communal Conflicts:
wars that take place between communal groups of all types at the substate level
Ethnic Cleansing:
the forced removal of an ethnic group from their area of residence using
tactics that include executions, the destruction of homes, and rape to instill
fear in the target population. In its ultimate form,
genocide.
Weapons of Mass
Destruction: nuclear weapons, chemical weapons, biological weapons
Conventional weapons:
fixed-wing and rotary aircraft, naval vessels, missiles, armoured vehicles
Light or Small Arms
Weapons: assault rifles, rocket propelled grenades, land mines
Proliferation:
increase in numbers, grow or produce
Covert Arms Trade: underground
arms market
Embargo: The
refusal of one country or a group of countries to export goods to another, for
punitive reasons. (Ex. American embargo on Cuba)
State Terrorism:
the use of state power to terrorize civilians into compliance
State-Sponsored
Terrorism: government support for terrorist individuals or groups to be
acting abroad
Cruise Missiles: a missile, guided remotely, that can fly low enough
to escape radar detection and can deliver conventional or nuclear warheads
Authoritarianism:
Political system in which individual freedom is subordinate to the power of the
state, concentrated in one leader or group that is not accountable to the people